Canucks at 140: Cole Candella
The Vancouver Canucks selected Cole Candella in the 5th round of the 2016 NHL Entry Draft with the 140th pick. Cole Candella is the first player in the history of the Hamilton Bulldogs OHL organization to be selected in the NHL Draft. Remember this factoid, as his career potentially represents a unique piece of draft history. Candella could potentially be the last player to play for the Belleville Bulls to be selected in the NHL Draft (I’m holding out hope that we see a re-entry pick this time next year).
— Cole Candella (@cole_candella) June 25, 2016
— Vancouver Canucks (@VanCanucks) June 25, 2016
Vancouver pick Candella could have gotten more hype if played a full season and maintained same level. Guy I’m intrigued by.
— Corey Pronman (@coreypronman) June 25, 2016
Of Candella’s 93 stat/stature comparable players in his cohort, 29% went on to become successful NHL players.
— J.D. Burke (@JDylanBurke) June 25, 2016
We had Cole Candella ranked at 141, he goes 140 to Vancouver Canucks. Offensive minded defenseman, skates well, suffered injuries this yr
— Ryan Yessie (@RyanHPscout) June 25, 2016
— Jordan Subban (@jordansubban) June 25, 2016
Cole Candella has been given an opportunity that so few young men get, the chance to separate himself from hundreds of young men as a legitimate NHL prospect. TSN’s Scott Cullen has a series of articles where he breaks down the statistical probability a player becomes an NHL regular. This helps fans gauge the success of any young prospect in relation to where they were selected in the draft. Cullen’s model (Source) and the outlook for Candella:
Average Rating: 1.64
Best: Ryan Miller, Andrei Kovalenko, Bryce Salvador
Ranked 7 or better: 2.0%
Ranked 5 or worse: 94.3%
At least 100 NHL games (or extremely likely): 13.4%
10 – Generational
9 – Elite Player
8 – First Line, Top Pair D
7 – Top Six Forward, Top Four D
6 – Top Nine Forward, Top Six D
5 – NHL Regular
4 – Fringe NHLer
3 – Very Good Minor Leaguer
2 – Minor Leaguer, under 50 NHL games
1 – 10 or fewer NHL games
Bryce Salvador is a different player than Candella, but something to keep in mind – he played almost 800 NHL games. Outer marker for sure, but possible goal to one day surpass.
Candella has spent some time playing alongside Canucks offensively minded defenseman Jordan Subban while they were playing for the Belleville Bulls during the 2014/15 season. There is a potential future where they’re both manning the blueline along the Pacific shoreline. He’s going to win over Canucks fans early and often.