Philadelphia Flyers at #106: Matthew Strome
Matthew Strome has been selected in the forth round, #106 overall by the Philadelphia Flyers. The huge, offensively gifted power forward has the toolkit to perfectly match the Broad Street Bullies model. The Flyers selected the young OHL star who has one of the most important skills you can ask for in a player, he can fill the back of the net.
Matthew Strome possesses a long list of skills along with a particular flaw that will make him a project as an NHL prospect. TSN’s Scott Cullen has a series of articles where he breaks down the statistical probability of a player becomes an NHL regular. This helps fans gauge the success of any young prospect in relation to where they were selected in the draft. Cullen’s model (Source) and the outlook for Strome:
Average Rating: 1.85
Best: Keith Yandle, Christian Ehrhoff, Niklas Hjalmarsson.
Ranked 7 or better: 3.0%
Ranked 5 or worse: 94.5%
At least 100 NHL games (or extremely likely): 19.5%
10 – Generational
9 – Elite Player
8 – First Line, Top Pair D
7 – Top Six Forward, Top Four D
6 – Top Nine Forward, Top Six D
5 – NHL Regular
4 – Fringe NHLer
3 – Very Good Minor Leaguer
2 – Minor Leaguer, under 50 NHL games
1 – 10 or fewer NHL games
Matthew Strome has many elite abilities that should have classified him as a first round pick. With the heavy emphasis on skating ability in the NHL today, Strome had to wait longer than anyone would have been comfortable with. This is a prospect who will continue to put in the work to improve his game. Expect him to play with a chip on his shoulder next season, in an effort to prove 31 teams were wrong about him (the Flyers included).
I’m betting that Strome covers the 20% odds that he plays at least 100 games in the NHL.